tailodds FORECAST
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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 09:46, is the safest bet: 93% chance of reaching Colorado Springs on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177 3h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 49m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:58 → IAH 17:25UA 2237 2h 34m Houston IAH 19:59 → COS 21:26UA 5459 · flown by SkyWest 8h 28m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 3h 18m Denver DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest 6h 47m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210 1h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 20:59 → COS 22:41DL 3788 · flown by SkyWest 4h 40m 87% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565 3h 44m Denver DEN 19:50 → COS 20:46UA 5669 · flown by SkyWest 7h 13m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535 2h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:41 → COS 14:49AA 1170 7h 29m 98% 78%
AmericanDetails → SAN 09:50 → DFW 15:10AA 2687 2h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 7h 44m 97% 76%
AmericanDetails → SAN 08:00 → DFW 13:10AA 1055 2h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:52 → COS 16:54AA 790 7h 54m 97% 71%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON