tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3010 SkyWest SAN 18:47 EUG 21:09 14% 6% 0.8% no record
WN 2620 Southwest SAN 11:28 EUG 13:54 15% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Eugene on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 15:02 → EUG 16:02DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest 6h 16m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAN 16:11 → SEA 19:05DL 2572 3h 30m Seattle SEA 22:35 → EUG 23:51DL 3855 · flown by SkyWest 7h 40m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:01 → SFO 12:47UA 2309 3h 31m San Francisco SFO 16:18 → EUG 17:58UA 502 6h 57m 100% 85%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 17:06 → SEA 19:44AS 1373 3h 05m Seattle SEA 22:49 → EUG 23:59AS 2047 · flown by Horizon 6h 53m 94% 84%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 17:58 → PDX 20:31AS 1392 1h 15m Portland PDX 21:46 → EUG 22:51AS 3043 · flown by SkyWest 4h 53m 91% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAN 07:03 → SEA 10:05DL 2530 1h 25m Seattle SEA 11:30 → EUG 12:58DL 4149 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 92% 72%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 11:46 → SEA 14:33AS 1368 1h 17m Seattle SEA 15:50 → EUG 17:00AS 2338 · flown by Horizon 5h 14m 90% 60%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576 47m Portland PDX 14:30 → EUG 15:23AS 3042 · flown by SkyWest 4h 19m 70% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON