Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 19:04, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Spokane on time.

Nonstops that day


OO 3002 SkyWest	SAN 21:09	GEG 00:35	11%	4%	1.2%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:21DL 1117	2h 09m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	5h 57m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SAN 13:36 → SEA 16:32DL 2533	3h 25m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SAN 19:58 → LAX 21:13DL 4087 · flown by SkyWest	1h 33m Los Angeles	LAX 22:46 → GEG 01:37 +1DL 3576 · flown by SkyWest	5h 39m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210	3h 16m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	6h 54m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177	2h 35m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	6h 22m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	SAN 11:06 → SEA 14:15DL 2508	3h 44m Seattle	SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	8h 09m	99%	85%
Alaska Details →	SAN 17:58 → PDX 20:31AS 1392	1h 45m Portland	PDX 22:16 → GEG 23:25AS 1345	5h 27m	95%	82%
United Details →	SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565	3h 34m Denver	DEN 19:40 → GEG 21:05UA 778	8h 32m	98%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON