tailodds FORECAST
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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 17:01, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Omaha on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210 1h 57m Salt Lake City SLC 21:56 → OMA 01:16 +1DL 3706 · flown by SkyWest 6h 15m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAN 11:48 → MSP 17:40DL 2121 3h 50m Minneapolis MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest 9h 00m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364 9h 33m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:15 → ORD 12:47AA 518 1h 19m Chicago ORD 14:06 → OMA 15:54AA 4042 · flown by Envoy 7h 39m 95% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAN 12:40 → ATL 20:01DL 924 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010 9h 09m 96% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAN 13:39 → SFO 15:19UA 1763 3h 22m San Francisco SFO 18:41 → OMA 00:13 +1UA 2839 8h 34m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 33m Denver DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327 5h 39m 94% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:58 → IAH 17:25UA 2237 2h 55m Houston IAH 20:20 → OMA 22:45UA 1216 8h 47m 98% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON