Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day


AS 2086 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SAN 10:05	RDM 12:25	34%	7%	2.9%	66%
AS 2223 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SAN 19:48	RDM 22:09	63%	24%	1.9%	37%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210	3h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:07 → RDM 23:58DL 3756 · flown by SkyWest	6h 57m	99%	95%
Delta Details →	SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:21DL 1117	1h 24m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest	5h 20m	97%	92%
Delta Details →	SAN 16:11 → SEA 19:05DL 2572	2h 30m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest	6h 46m	97%	87%
United Details →	SAN 06:24 → SFO 08:13UA 2830	2h 15m San Francisco	SFO 10:28 → RDM 12:12UA 2153	5h 48m	99%	86%
United Details →	SAN 11:01 → SFO 12:47UA 2309	3h 51m San Francisco	SFO 16:38 → RDM 18:24UA 2418	7h 23m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SAN 11:06 → SEA 14:15DL 2508	3h 10m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	99%	85%
Alaska Details →	SAN 11:04 → SFO 12:51AS 3347 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m San Francisco	SFO 16:42 → RDM 18:26AS 3361 · flown by SkyWest	7h 22m	99%	83%
Alaska Details →	SAN 17:58 → PDX 20:31AS 1392	1h 24m Portland	PDX 21:55 → RDM 22:45AS 2057 · flown by Horizon	4h 47m	93%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576	47m Portland	PDX 14:30 → RDM 15:20AS 2173 · flown by Horizon	4h 16m	70%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON