tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2321 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SAN 09:16 TUL 14:30 37% 10% 0.0% 63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SAN 07:58 → IAH 13:27UA 2760 3h 03m Houston IAH 16:30 → TUL 18:08UA 6171 · flown by Mesa 8h 10m 100% 99%
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:15 → SLC 16:18DL 1296 3h 35m Salt Lake City SLC 19:53 → TUL 23:31DL 3825 · flown by SkyWest 8h 16m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 3h 12m Atlanta ATL 17:01 → TUL 18:04DL 2837 9h 49m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 23m Denver DEN 13:40 → TUL 16:29UA 5311 · flown by SkyWest 5h 44m 94% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:58 → IAH 17:25UA 2237 2h 37m Houston IAH 20:02 → TUL 21:54UA 1927 7h 56m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAN 16:07 → DEN 19:39UA 682 1h 16m Denver DEN 20:55 → TUL 23:47UA 4712 · flown by SkyWest 5h 40m 90% 82%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535 2h 39m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:14 → TUL 15:29AA 2851 7h 09m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAN 10:35 → ORD 16:52UA 1710 3h 28m Chicago ORD 20:20 → TUL 22:12UA 2351 9h 37m 97% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON