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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 150 JetBlue Flight history → SAV 15:59 BOS 18:34 16% 9% 0.8% 77%
DL 5647 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → SAV 17:24 BOS 19:32 22% 6% 0.7% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855 7h 06m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:09 → ATL 09:17DL 686 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → BOS 14:51DL 1293 6h 42m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862 7h 04m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SAV 06:15 → EWR 08:27UA 2828 3h 32m Newark EWR 11:59 → BOS 13:16UA 1669 7h 01m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067 3h 56m Atlanta ATL 20:50 → BOS 23:36DL 300 7h 53m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → BOS 16:44DL 726 6h 41m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA 1h 52m Charlotte CLT 10:17 → BOS 12:34AA 2263 5h 34m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:56DL 3054 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → BOS 19:30DL 518 6h 51m 99% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON