Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 4398 Southwest	SAV 07:59	BWI 09:53	2%	1%	0.8%	no record
WN 1049 Southwest	SAV 17:11	BWI 18:59	8%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 08:55 → BWI 10:47DL 801	5h 08m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → BWI 13:01DL 2711	6h 18m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	2h 53m Atlanta	ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799	5h 50m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 11:24 → DTW 13:40DL 1119	1h 25m Detroit	DTW 15:05 → BWI 16:41DL 2480	5h 17m	97%	90%
American Details →	SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA	4h 00m Charlotte	CLT 12:25 → BWI 14:04AA 2733	7h 04m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:56DL 3054	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 16:45 → BWI 18:41DL 2928	6h 02m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → BWI 21:26DL 1257	5h 43m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 17:24 → BOS 19:32DL 5647 · flown by Republic	1h 03m Boston	BOS 20:35 → BWI 22:29DL 5851 · flown by Republic	5h 05m	78%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON