Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, WN 3513 at 10:48, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3513 Southwest	SAV 10:48	DAL 12:10	8%	2%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → DAL 09:21DL 441	4h 42m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	6h 00m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:56DL 3054	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	6h 15m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	6h 20m	98%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON