Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 1119 Delta Flight history →	SAV 11:24	DTW 13:40	5%	2%	0.8%	90%
OO 3711 SkyWest	SAV 17:56	DTW 20:10	13%	6%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 13m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031	5h 39m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 08:18 → DTW 10:17DL 643	4h 38m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:56DL 3054	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067	6h 35m	100%	89%
American Details →	SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA	3h 59m Charlotte	CLT 12:24 → DTW 14:15AA 1683	7h 15m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:50 → JFK 10:02DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	3h 05m New York	JFK 13:07 → DTW 14:58DL 1654	7h 08m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 20:30 → DTW 22:33DL 1232	6h 50m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 21:45 → DTW 23:44DL 651	6h 39m	98%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON