Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:39, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Houston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 08:41 → HOU 09:45DL 1509	5h 06m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195	6h 27m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 20:45 → HOU 21:51DL 2051	7h 08m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:56DL 3054	1h 16m Atlanta	ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381	4h 43m	96%	85%
American Details →	SAV 15:06 → DFW 16:42AA 2048	2h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:43 → HOU 20:04AA 3391 · flown by Envoy	5h 58m	89%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON