Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 17:16, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2574 Delta Flight history →	SAV 17:16	MSP 19:15	14%	5%	0.7%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 08:09 → ATL 09:17DL 686	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 41m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	3h 10m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 51m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 03m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	51m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	4h 35m	94%	86%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:20 → LGA 08:24DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor	2h 46m New York	LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409	7h 50m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:19 → JFK 09:24DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	2h 11m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	7h 31m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:44 → ATL 14:00DL 3054	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	6h 34m	99%	86%
United Details →	SAV 16:15 → DEN 18:17UA 2660	2h 37m Denver	DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667	8h 44m	98%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON