tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 5570 American flown by PSA Flight history → SAV 07:45 PHL 09:50 9% 6% 0.9% 96%
AA 2708 American SAV 16:22 PHL 18:30 17% 6% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Philadelphia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 08:55 → PHL 10:57DL 2270 5h 18m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → PHL 13:24DL 2279 6h 41m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:09 → ATL 09:17DL 686 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 13:00 → PHL 15:02DL 2131 6h 53m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 51m Atlanta ATL 14:00 → PHL 16:04DL 1692 6h 01m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:24 → DTW 13:40DL 1119 1h 20m Detroit DTW 15:00 → PHL 16:43DL 1391 5h 19m 97% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:24 → BOS 19:32DL 5647 · flown by Republic 2h 28m Boston BOS 22:00 → PHL 23:53DL 5610 · flown by Republic 6h 29m 96% 90%
AmericanDetails → SAV 06:01 → MIA 07:37AA 3417 · flown by Envoy 1h 23m Miami MIA 09:00 → PHL 11:55AA 551 5h 54m 95% 89%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA 2h 35m Charlotte CLT 11:00 → PHL 12:43AA 2498 5h 43m 97% 89%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SAV 15:40 → IAH 17:12UA 6185 · flown by Mesa 53m Houston IAH 18:05 → PHL 22:29UA 1663 6h 49m 74% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON