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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 08:09, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching St Louis on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:09 → ATL 09:17DL 686 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 12:42 → STL 13:31DL 1102 6h 22m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 09:04 → STL 09:43DL 1400 5h 04m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:16 → DTW 13:25DL 1119 3h 20m Detroit DTW 16:45 → STL 17:24DL 2822 7h 08m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:44 → ATL 13:59DL 3054 1h 47m Atlanta ATL 15:46 → STL 16:34DL 543 4h 50m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAV 14:51 → ATL 16:06DL 3014 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 19:09 → STL 19:58DL 2833 6h 07m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → SAV 10:08 → CLT 11:26AA 5534 · flown by PSA 2h 17m Charlotte CLT 13:43 → STL 14:46AA 3060 5h 38m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → STL 23:53DL 1403 5h 46m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:19 → LGA 08:22DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor 1h 37m New York LGA 09:59 → STL 11:41DL 4922 · flown by Endeavor 6h 22m 96% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON