Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 05:00, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 338 Delta Flight history →	SEA 13:00	FLL 21:52	20%	6%	0.9%	75%
AS 516 Alaska Flight history →	SEA 08:23	FLL 17:27	21%	5%	0.7%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SEA 00:13 → MSP 05:24DL 953	3h 26m Minneapolis	MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673	10h 12m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	SEA 00:02 → ATL 07:46DL 652	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	10h 18m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	SEA 09:45 → DTW 17:04DL 2324	3h 40m Detroit	DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296	10h 57m	100%	88%
United Details →	SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601	1h 07m Denver	DEN 09:50 → FLL 15:53UA 1214	7h 53m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	SEA 05:30 → DTW 12:42DL 812	3h 14m Detroit	DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037	10h 30m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SEA 06:00 → ATL 13:53DL 569	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345	8h 23m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	SEA 05:30 → SLC 08:30DL 1128	2h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745	8h 58m	99%	83%
United Details →	SEA 07:00 → IAH 13:26UA 2135	3h 09m Houston	IAH 16:35 → FLL 20:22UA 277	10h 22m	98%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON