tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OO 3122 at 08:11, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OO 3122 SkyWest SEA 08:11 JAC 11:05 23% 9% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SEA 05:30 → SLC 08:30DL 1128 2h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 5h 45m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → SEA 09:30 → SLC 12:36DL 1016 3h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → JAC 16:58DL 509 6h 28m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601 2h 32m Denver DEN 11:15 → JAC 12:46UA 2193 6h 46m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → SEA 13:30 → SLC 16:40DL 1120 1h 50m Salt Lake City SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest 5h 07m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → SEA 07:16 → SFO 09:42UA 499 3h 34m San Francisco SFO 13:16 → JAC 16:28UA 1593 8h 12m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → SEA 08:56 → DEN 12:45UA 1505 3h 35m Denver DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200 7h 57m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → SEA 05:05 → DFW 11:02AA 2748 2h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883 8h 54m 98% 71%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON