tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 5289 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 18:42 ABQ 22:26 9% 3% 0.6% 89%
UA 1597 United SFO 12:21 ABQ 15:55 13% 5% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → SFO 00:11 → DFW 05:43AA 2111 3h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:46 → ABQ 09:42AA 3535 · flown by Envoy 8h 31m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → SFO 14:20 → DEN 18:11UA 1596 2h 59m Denver DEN 21:10 → ABQ 22:54UA 5880 · flown by SkyWest 7h 34m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SFO 05:00 → DEN 08:35UA 1479 2h 41m Denver DEN 11:16 → ABQ 12:45UA 476 6h 45m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SFO 13:08 → SLC 16:01DL 902 1h 24m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 5h 04m 93% 88%
UnitedDetails → SFO 00:45 → IAH 06:34UA 604 3h 26m Houston IAH 10:00 → ABQ 11:25UA 3982 · flown by Mesa 9h 40m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → SFO 10:50 → IAH 16:52UA 1259 3h 33m Houston IAH 20:25 → ABQ 21:44UA 1381 9h 54m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → SFO 05:00 → IAH 10:55UA 2168 1h 09m Houston IAH 12:04 → ABQ 13:27UA 6345 · flown by Mesa 7h 27m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → SFO 10:09 → LAX 11:49AA 6428 · flown by SkyWest 1h 49m Los Angeles LAX 13:38 → ABQ 16:49AA 6515 · flown by SkyWest 5h 40m 93% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON