tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OO 5214 at 10:28, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OO 5214 SkyWest SFO 10:28 PSC 12:28 22% 12% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SFO 05:50 → SLC 08:40DL 1331 3h 44m Salt Lake City SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest 7h 19m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → SFO 09:55 → SLC 12:44DL 920 3h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest 6h 43m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SFO 17:07 → SLC 20:00DL 1088 3h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712 6h 47m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SFO 17:29 → SEA 19:44DL 3707 · flown by SkyWest 3h 01m Seattle SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest 6h 24m 99% 87%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 17:39 → SEA 19:47AS 1340 2h 57m Seattle SEA 22:44 → PSC 23:43AS 2403 · flown by Horizon 6h 04m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → SFO 14:20 → DEN 18:11UA 1596 1h 04m Denver DEN 19:15 → PSC 20:52UA 1737 6h 32m 83% 66%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 06:03 → SEA 08:13AS 620 3h 07m Seattle SEA 11:20 → PSC 12:19AS 2306 · flown by Horizon 6h 16m 100% 57%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SFO 06:13 → SEA 08:05AS 580 47m Seattle SEA 08:52 → PSC 09:53AS 2195 · flown by Horizon 3h 40m 65% 58%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON