Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 12:40, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJC 12:40 → ATL 20:29DL 809	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	8h 59m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SJC 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 1314	1h 50m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745	8h 28m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	SJC 07:20 → SEA 09:42DL 4041 · flown by SkyWest	3h 18m Seattle	SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338	11h 32m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	9h 05m	99%	80%
American Details →	SJC 06:01 → DFW 11:46AA 1019	54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:40 → FLL 16:30AA 1373	7h 29m	92%	77%
American Details →	SJC 11:55 → DFW 17:32AA 2046	1h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:05 → FLL 23:07AA 1847	8h 12m	93%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON