tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 3088 at 14:34, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3088 Southwest SJC 14:34 GEG 16:39 15% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SJC 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 1314 2h 35m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 12m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SJC 17:01 → SLC 19:54DL 1260 3h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466 6h 54m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → SJC 14:55 → SEA 17:09DL 3789 · flown by SkyWest 2h 48m Seattle SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest 6h 18m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → SJC 09:45 → SLC 12:41DL 4026 · flown by SkyWest 2h 44m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 23m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → SJC 11:35 → SEA 13:55DL 3736 · flown by SkyWest 1h 45m Seattle SEA 15:40 → GEG 16:55DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest 5h 20m 96% 84%
AlaskaDetails → SJC 08:20 → SEA 10:36AS 762 3h 46m Seattle SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon 7h 05m 100% 82%
AmericanDetails → SJC 06:03 → PHX 08:02AA 1358 2h 49m Phoenix PHX 10:51 → GEG 13:33AA 540 7h 30m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → SJC 17:55 → SEA 20:13DL 3897 · flown by SkyWest 2h 32m Seattle SEA 22:45 → GEG 23:55DL 2354 6h 00m 99% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SJC 08:20 → SEA 10:36AS 762 52m Seattle SEA 11:28 → GEG 12:31AS 454 4h 11m 62% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON