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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2855 at 17:25, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2855 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CLE 22:58 12% 3% 0.4% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 7h 21m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934 9h 45m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:41DL 1350 8h 31m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 3h 19m Minneapolis MSP 20:51 → CLE 23:43DL 1392 7h 43m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 18:49 → CLE 20:41DL 2150 8h 46m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → CLE 18:53UA 2476 8h 23m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → CLE 00:49 +1DL 1320 9h 14m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 3h 46m Atlanta ATL 20:35 → CLE 22:26DL 1339 9h 21m 99% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON