Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2070 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:55	CLT 16:52	11%	2%	0.6%	88%
AA 1895 American	SLC 13:20	CLT 19:15	18%	4%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289	2h 41m Detroit	DTW 14:05 → CLT 15:55DL 1429	7h 55m	99%	93%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:50 → BOS 16:36DL 657	3h 04m Boston	BOS 19:40 → CLT 22:20DL 5807 · flown by Republic	10h 30m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	8h 23m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 42m Minneapolis	MSP 20:14 → CLT 23:44DL 2929	7h 44m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	3h 01m Minneapolis	MSP 14:30 → CLT 18:02DL 2820	8h 02m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158	7h 26m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031	7h 17m	99%	88%
American Details →	SLC 13:24 → ORD 17:29AA 3258	3h 25m Chicago	ORD 20:54 → CLT 23:59AA 2976	8h 35m	100%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON