tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2230 at 17:25, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2230 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CMH 22:52 16% 3% 0.6% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244 3h 35m Detroit DTW 22:50 → CMH 23:56DL 5634 · flown by Republic 8h 06m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → SLC 12:39 → ORD 16:50UA 1382 2h 55m Chicago ORD 19:45 → CMH 22:24UA 3614 · flown by Republic 7h 45m 97% 92%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Denver DEN 09:35 → CMH 14:28UA 480 7h 13m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:23 → ORD 11:47AA 2883 3h 36m Chicago ORD 15:23 → CMH 17:42AA 3542 · flown by Envoy 8h 19m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 14:29 → CMH 16:09DL 2892 7h 09m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:50 → BOS 16:36DL 657 2h 49m Boston BOS 19:25 → CMH 21:50DL 5629 · flown by Republic 10h 00m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 56m Detroit DTW 12:20 → CMH 13:27DL 5774 · flown by Republic 5h 27m 94% 88%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 3h 31m Atlanta ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786 8h 53m 100% 88%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SLC 11:17 → SEA 12:30AS 796 54m Seattle SEA 13:24 → CMH 20:43AS 463 7h 26m 57% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON