tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2273 Delta Flight history → SLC 09:40 CVG 15:03 7% 2% 0.5% 92%
DL 2291 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CVG 22:46 11% 3% 0.5% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 9h 04m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CVG 14:27UA 1978 7h 12m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 7h 41m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 48m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → CVG 23:11DL 1469 7h 11m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:46 → CVG 14:15AA 3305 7h 15m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119 7h 30m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 20:15 → CVG 21:45DL 2248 8h 40m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 1h 43m Houston IAH 12:40 → CVG 16:22UA 2850 7h 37m 98% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON