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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 FLL 17:28 18% 3% 0.8% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 1h 36m San Francisco SFO 08:55 → FLL 17:36UA 2431 9h 31m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 1h 06m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 7h 34m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 56m Denver DEN 09:50 → FLL 15:53UA 1214 8h 38m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 27m Denver DEN 13:54 → FLL 20:02UA 1384 9h 32m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:59 → JFK 16:47DL 1792 3h 11m New York JFK 19:58 → FLL 23:28DL 1414 11h 29m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244 1h 29m Detroit DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296 7h 52m 96% 84%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 54m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:49UA 1374 8h 44m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 3h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:40 → FLL 16:30AA 1373 9h 30m 100% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON