tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:08 am at Salt Lake City)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4234 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 20:50 GJT 21:55 5% 1% 0.5% 97%
DL 4246 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 11:17 GJT 12:31 5% 3% 0.2% 92%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Grand Junction on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 2h 34m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:20 → GJT 12:41AA 3592 · flown by Envoy 7h 41m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Denver DEN 09:35 → GJT 10:44UA 4704 · flown by SkyWest 5h 29m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:41 → PHX 14:44AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest 1h 49m Phoenix PHX 16:33 → GJT 19:08AA 6491 · flown by SkyWest 5h 27m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 42m Denver DEN 11:24 → GJT 12:31UA 1714 5h 31m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662 3h 14m Denver DEN 19:25 → GJT 20:34UA 431 6h 06m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 2h 58m Denver DEN 13:25 → GJT 14:40UA 5488 · flown by SkyWest 6h 10m 99% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON