Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2228 at 17:50, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2228 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:50	IND 22:59	14%	2%	0.6%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m Denver	DEN 09:58 → IND 14:35UA 1522	7h 20m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 15:55 → IND 17:35DL 2979	8h 35m	100%	92%
United Details →	SLC 12:42 → ORD 16:53UA 1382	2h 52m Chicago	ORD 19:45 → IND 22:05UA 3707 · flown by Republic	7h 23m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 17:35 → IND 19:10DL 3120	9h 00m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 42m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → IND 00:41 +1DL 2657	9h 06m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	1h 26m Minneapolis	MSP 12:55 → IND 15:33DL 2910	5h 33m	97%	89%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	2h 54m Denver	DEN 13:21 → IND 17:51UA 1228	7h 21m	99%	88%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	58m Houston	IAH 11:55 → IND 15:25UA 1687	6h 40m	94%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON