Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 4052 at 13:19, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 4052 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:19	LIT 17:21	7%	3%	0.6%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Little Rock on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	2h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:41 → LIT 13:02AA 3898 · flown by Envoy	7h 02m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → LIT 15:12DL 3027	7h 12m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	2h 34m Atlanta	ATL 16:28 → LIT 17:07DL 2060	7h 57m	99%	89%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 41m Denver	DEN 09:35 → LIT 12:54UA 5369 · flown by SkyWest	6h 39m	99%	88%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	2h 53m Denver	DEN 13:20 → LIT 16:42UA 5760 · flown by SkyWest	7h 12m	99%	87%
American Details →	SLC 08:00 → DFW 11:47AA 2195	3h 47m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:34 → LIT 16:56AA 4309 · flown by Envoy	7h 56m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → LIT 23:14DL 2083	8h 39m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → LIT 18:23DL 2061	7h 28m	98%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON