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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2619 at 17:45, with a 17% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2619 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:45 MKE 21:43 17% 3% 0.6% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206 8h 31m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 2h 25m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 6h 09m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 9h 21m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 03m Denver DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:25UA 1836 7h 10m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 19:41 → MKE 20:41DL 2388 8h 36m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 42m Houston IAH 14:39 → MKE 17:36UA 6139 · flown by Mesa 9h 51m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:45 → DTW 15:12DL 2236 2h 29m Detroit DTW 17:41 → MKE 18:00DL 3675 · flown by SkyWest 7h 15m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:00 → IAH 17:12UA 497 2h 41m Houston IAH 19:53 → MKE 22:36UA 4774 · flown by SkyWest 8h 36m 97% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON