tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2100 at 09:25, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2100 Delta Flight history → SLC 09:25 MSY 13:47 5% 2% 0.6% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 56m Denver DEN 09:50 → MSY 13:39UA 2273 7h 24m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 13:13 → MSY 16:57UA 250 7h 27m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 1h 16m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695 6h 25m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 4h 00m Houston IAH 14:57 → MSY 16:27UA 2738 8h 42m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 1h 28m San Francisco SFO 08:47 → MSY 15:09UA 2119 8h 04m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146 7h 57m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 34m Atlanta ATL 22:56 → MSY 23:31DL 2224 8h 56m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 17:51 → MSY 18:27DL 678 9h 17m 100% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON