Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 3703 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 20:30	OKC 23:52	6%	3%	0.5%	85%
DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:40	OKC 17:03	7%	3%	0.5%	93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 11m Denver	DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest	6h 46m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	3h 30m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest	8h 05m	99%	87%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 09m Denver	DEN 13:36 → OKC 16:28UA 1656	6h 58m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	8h 22m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 15:31 → ATL 21:25DL 875	1h 19m Atlanta	ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423	7h 21m	94%	82%
United Details →	SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest	2h 40m Denver	DEN 17:31 → OKC 20:11UA 1184	6h 06m	98%	82%
United Details →	SLC 13:00 → IAH 17:12UA 497	2h 46m Houston	IAH 19:58 → OKC 21:31UA 1084	7h 31m	98%	81%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	58m Phoenix	PHX 08:55 → OKC 13:28AA 6253 · flown by SkyWest	5h 15m	91%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON