Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 1188 at 10:45, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 1188 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:45	PIT 16:30	8%	2%	0.6%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244	3h 28m Detroit	DTW 22:43 → PIT 23:59DL 5369 · flown by Endeavor	8h 09m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:45 → DTW 15:12DL 2236	2h 42m Detroit	DTW 17:54 → PIT 19:06DL 5498 · flown by Endeavor	7h 21m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289	3h 03m Detroit	DTW 14:27 → PIT 15:39DL 4640 · flown by Endeavor	7h 39m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353	6h 50m	98%	90%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 11m Denver	DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308	8h 01m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 42m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351	9h 15m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:50 → BOS 16:36DL 657	3h 34m Boston	BOS 20:10 → PIT 22:13DL 5679 · flown by Republic	10h 23m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	2h 00m Minneapolis	MSP 13:29 → PIT 16:34DL 4971 · flown by Endeavor	6h 34m	98%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON