Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:57 am at Salt Lake City); 2 already left

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 3852 at 15:40, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 3852 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 15:40	PSP 16:33	12%	6%	0.2%	88%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	SLC 12:17 → PHX 13:02AA 6422 · flown by SkyWest	2h 22m Phoenix	PHX 15:24 → PSP 16:41AA 3949 · flown by Envoy	5h 24m	96%	83%
Alaska Details →	SLC 14:57 → SEA 15:57AS 734	3h 17m Seattle	SEA 19:14 → PSP 21:59AS 3285 · flown by SkyWest	8h 02m	99%	81%
United Details →	SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662	3h 22m Denver	DEN 19:33 → PSP 21:07UA 2644	7h 39m	96%	81%
American Details →	SLC 13:41 → PHX 14:44AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	2h 25m Phoenix	PHX 17:09 → PSP 18:26AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest	5h 45m	100%	76%
Alaska Details →	SLC 11:17 → SEA 12:30AS 796	1h 56m Seattle	SEA 14:26 → PSP 17:01AS 322	6h 44m	95%	69%
United Details →	SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest	54m Denver	DEN 15:45 → PSP 17:11UA 5469 · flown by SkyWest	5h 06m	75%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON