Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–4% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 3756 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 23:07	RDM 23:58	3%	1%	0.6%	95%
DL 3727 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	RDM 11:35	4%	2%	0.5%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	98%	89%
Alaska Details →	SLC 12:42 → PDX 13:38AS 3430 · flown by SkyWest	52m Portland	PDX 14:30 → RDM 15:20AS 2173 · flown by Horizon	3h 38m	93%	88%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 33m Denver	DEN 11:15 → RDM 12:53UA 2082	6h 53m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:20 → SEA 14:35DL 2921	2h 50m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	6h 23m	99%	87%
United Details →	SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest	3h 09m San Francisco	SFO 10:28 → RDM 12:12UA 2153	7h 07m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874	2h 20m Seattle	SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest	5h 55m	99%	85%
United Details →	SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662	3h 18m Denver	DEN 19:29 → RDM 21:05UA 1588	7h 37m	98%	82%
Alaska Details →	SLC 06:03 → SEA 07:09AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest	46m Seattle	SEA 07:55 → RDM 09:04AS 2079 · flown by Horizon	4h 01m	82%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON