Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day


AS 2020 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SNA 11:25	GEG 13:59	17%	4%	0.0%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SNA 17:03 → SLC 19:58DL 1277	3h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	6h 52m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SNA 09:50 → SLC 12:46DL 1198	2h 39m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	6h 18m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	SNA 07:15 → SLC 10:13DL 1185	1h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	4h 57m	94%	84%
Alaska Details →	SNA 18:09 → PDX 20:31AS 589	1h 45m Portland	PDX 22:16 → GEG 23:25AS 1345	5h 16m	97%	83%
American Details →	SNA 06:46 → PHX 08:16AA 628	2h 35m Phoenix	PHX 10:51 → GEG 13:33AA 540	6h 47m	98%	82%
Alaska Details →	SNA 07:00 → PDX 09:24AS 750	1h 06m Portland	PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250	4h 45m	95%	81%
Alaska Details →	SNA 08:05 → SEA 10:55AS 702	3h 27m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	7h 20m	98%	80%
American Details →	SNA 12:59 → PHX 14:25AA 2454	2h 41m Phoenix	PHX 17:06 → GEG 19:51AA 2876	6h 52m	97%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON