tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3815 Southwest STL 06:06 RSW 09:41 4% 2% 0.9% no record
WN 3884 Southwest STL 10:13 RSW 13:40 10% 3% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 06:30 → DTW 09:04DL 1626 1h 20m Detroit DTW 10:24 → RSW 13:23DL 1055 5h 53m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → STL 07:08 → ATL 09:45DL 1536 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 27m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:21 → MSP 07:56DL 1597 1h 09m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 6h 06m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → STL 10:19 → DTW 12:53DL 2868 1h 35m Detroit DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225 6h 03m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → STL 16:40 → ATL 19:25DL 543 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 6h 43m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 1h 47m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 5h 11m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → STL 08:49 → MSP 10:30DL 5325 · flown by Endeavor 2h 53m Minneapolis MSP 13:23 → RSW 17:53DL 2219 8h 04m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → STL 06:31 → CLT 09:33AA 1515 2h 35m Charlotte CLT 12:08 → RSW 14:15AA 2018 6h 44m 97% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON