tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4498 Southwest STL 08:39 SAT 10:58 3% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 4166 Southwest STL 20:52 SAT 23:01 8% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 08:49 → MSP 10:30DL 5325 · flown by Endeavor 3h 50m Minneapolis MSP 14:20 → SAT 17:11DL 2580 8h 22m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → STL 09:06 → DEN 10:30UA 2459 3h 14m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 7h 49m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:21 → MSP 07:56DL 1597 1h 04m Minneapolis MSP 09:00 → SAT 11:49DL 2667 5h 28m 97% 88%
UnitedDetails → STL 08:35 → IAH 10:50UA 4579 · flown by GoJet 3h 57m Houston IAH 14:47 → SAT 16:07UA 2030 7h 32m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 38m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → STL 07:08 → ATL 09:45DL 1536 4h 00m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009 8h 02m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → STL 09:24 → ATL 12:02DL 1571 3h 56m Atlanta ATL 15:58 → SAT 17:29DL 1465 8h 05m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → STL 08:00 → ORD 09:35UA 4183 · flown by GoJet 3h 55m Chicago ORD 13:30 → SAT 16:29UA 2844 8h 29m 97% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON