Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OO 3032 at 15:29, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 3032 SkyWest	STS 15:29	ONT 17:13	12%	5%	1.0%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Ontario on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	STS 12:49 → DFW 18:13AA 3766 · flown by Envoy	3h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:25 → ONT 22:52AA 1695	10h 03m	100%	76%
American Details →	STS 13:10 → PHX 15:32AA 4114 · flown by Envoy	1h 46m Phoenix	PHX 17:18 → ONT 18:46AA 1666	5h 36m	96%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON