Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OO 5659 SkyWest	SUN 06:53	DEN 09:02	5%	4%	0.6%	no record
UA 5268 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SUN 14:38	DEN 16:45	7%	3%	0.6%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SUN 07:20 → SLC 08:27DL 4037 · flown by SkyWest	1h 48m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:15 → DEN 11:47DL 1553	4h 27m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	SUN 15:35 → SLC 16:47DL 4019 · flown by SkyWest	3h 43m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:30 → DEN 22:01DL 1667	6h 26m	100%	89%
Alaska Details →	SUN 10:20 → SEA 11:14AS 2325 · flown by Horizon	2h 15m Seattle	SEA 13:29 → DEN 17:05AS 304	6h 45m	100%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON