Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day


AS 2325 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SUN 10:20	SEA 11:14	19%	0%	0.0%	81%
AS 2327 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SUN 19:43	SEA 20:35	53%	5%	5.0%	47%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Hailey). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SUN 07:20 → SLC 08:27DL 4037 · flown by SkyWest	3h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:35 → SEA 12:49DL 2995	6h 29m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SUN 15:35 → SLC 16:47DL 4019 · flown by SkyWest	3h 57m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:44 → SEA 22:00DL 2016	7h 25m	100%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON