Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 4635 American flown by Republic Flight history →	SYR 10:36	BOS 11:55	6%	2%	0.6%	92%
B6 374 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 09:08	BOS 10:32	6%	2%	0.6%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	2h 11m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → BOS 12:00DL 2648	5h 39m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855	6h 45m	98%	91%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515	2h 47m New York	JFK 09:59 → BOS 11:26B6 1018	5h 26m	98%	89%
American Details →	SYR 06:00 → ORD 07:04AA 572	1h 58m Chicago	ORD 09:02 → BOS 12:37AA 802	6h 37m	99%	89%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 05m Charlotte	CLT 12:16 → BOS 14:33AA 1140	6h 33m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 16:45 → BOS 19:30DL 518	7h 10m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	1h 57m Atlanta	ATL 20:08 → BOS 22:47DL 821	7h 01m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	2h 58m New York	JFK 09:50 → BOS 11:15DL 5733 · flown by Republic	5h 45m	96%	85%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	46m New York	LGA 08:00 → BOS 09:19DL 5759 · flown by Republic	3h 19m	65%	58%
American Details →	SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont	49m Philadelphia	PHL 12:53 → BOS 14:16AA 3186	3h 29m	55%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON