tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: American via O'Hare, leaving 06:01, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 513 United SYR 08:11 DEN 10:13 6% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108 1h 31m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 97% 89%
AmericanDetails → SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235 2h 58m Charlotte CLT 13:09 → DEN 14:39AA 696 8h 39m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 45m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 8h 05m 90% 86%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:01 → ORD 07:07AA 572 2h 38m Chicago ORD 09:45 → DEN 11:18AA 2363 7h 17m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991 1h 14m Atlanta ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746 6h 57m 95% 85%
DeltaDetails → SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375 2h 00m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519 7h 36m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → SYR 10:30 → IAD 11:55UA 4840 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 40m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 7h 59m 93% 83%
DeltaDetails → SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor 1h 38m New York JFK 08:30 → DEN 10:58DL 532 7h 28m 93% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont 57m Philadelphia PHL 13:01 → DEN 15:12AA 2082 6h 25m 68% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON