tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AA 533 at 07:16, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 533 American Flight history → SYR 07:16 DFW 09:50 6% 2% 0.6% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 11:28 → DFW 12:44DL 414 7h 44m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235 3h 10m Charlotte CLT 13:21 → DFW 15:14AA 1690 8h 14m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 20:13 → DFW 21:35DL 3161 6h 49m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:00 → ORD 07:03AA 572 1h 27m Chicago ORD 08:30 → DFW 11:04AA 1555 6h 04m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690 1h 26m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818 6h 19m 96% 85%
AmericanDetails → SYR 10:36 → BOS 11:55AA 4635 · flown by Republic 1h 14m Boston BOS 13:09 → DFW 16:00AA 1438 6h 24m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 17:42 → DFW 18:56DL 1827 7h 36m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont 3h 35m Philadelphia PHL 10:55 → DFW 13:16AA 3326 8h 16m 94% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SYR 10:30 → IAD 11:55UA 4840 · flown by CommuteAir 46m Dulles IAD 12:41 → DFW 15:05UA 1564 5h 35m 73% 65%
AmericanDetails → SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont 48m Philadelphia PHL 12:52 → DFW 15:31AA 415 5h 44m 54% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON