Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:57 pm at Syracuse)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Detroit, leaving 13:38, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 65% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 13:38 → DTW 15:11DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	3h 17m Detroit	DTW 18:28 → FLL 21:32DL 2296	7h 54m	100%	88%
American Details →	SYR 14:35 → PHL 16:04AA 5825 · flown by Piedmont	2h 59m Philadelphia	PHL 19:03 → FLL 22:13AA 2462	7h 38m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489	6h 10m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690	1h 17m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	5h 45m	96%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SYR 13:09 → CLT 15:16AA 2730	52m Charlotte	CLT 16:08 → FLL 18:18AA 1465	5h 09m	65%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON