Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2525 at 07:27, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2525 Delta	SYR 07:27	MSP 09:01	8%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	8h 50m	99%	88%
American Details →	SYR 05:58 → ORD 07:01AA 572	1h 14m Chicago	ORD 08:15 → MSP 10:01AA 4162 · flown by Envoy	5h 03m	94%	88%
Delta Details →	SYR 09:16 → DTW 10:48DL 5213 · flown by Endeavor	1h 32m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697	4h 54m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	1h 06m Detroit	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	4h 33m	95%	87%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 32m Charlotte	CLT 12:43 → MSP 14:37AA 1671	7h 37m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	7h 55m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	6h 45m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:27 → LGA 07:41DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	3h 29m New York	LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409	7h 43m	96%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON