tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 989 Southwest TUL 07:43 BNA 09:26 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3723 Southwest TUL 14:46 BNA 16:18 7% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TUL 06:00 → ATL 09:04DL 1259 2h 17m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 30m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → TUL 06:00 → DEN 07:00UA 5667 · flown by SkyWest 2h 43m Denver DEN 09:43 → BNA 13:22UA 355 7h 22m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → TUL 06:35 → ORD 08:48AA 3590 · flown by Envoy 2h 25m Chicago ORD 11:13 → BNA 12:56AA 2362 6h 21m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → TUL 10:04 → ATL 13:05DL 2754 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 5h 22m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → TUL 05:57 → DFW 07:31AA 1090 2h 37m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:08 → BNA 12:16AA 1396 6h 19m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → TUL 07:00 → CLT 10:30AA 1729 2h 54m Charlotte CLT 13:24 → BNA 14:03AA 2409 7h 03m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → TUL 07:00 → IAH 08:46UA 3984 · flown by Mesa 3h 09m Houston IAH 11:55 → BNA 14:02UA 1318 7h 02m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → TUL 12:41 → ATL 15:45DL 2620 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490 6h 57m 99% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON