Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 693 at 12:41, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 693 Southwest	TYS 12:41	MCO 14:20	8%	4%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	TYS 05:40 → ATL 06:40DL 3015	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 08:25 → MCO 09:56DL 1213	4h 16m	98%	90%
American Details →	TYS 05:00 → CLT 06:23AA 5954 · flown by Piedmont	2h 09m Charlotte	CLT 08:32 → MCO 10:23AA 2170	5h 23m	95%	87%
American Details →	TYS 08:17 → CLT 09:47AA 5641 · flown by PSA	2h 31m Charlotte	CLT 12:18 → MCO 13:59AA 2117	5h 42m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	TYS 06:45 → MSP 08:18DL 5523 · flown by Endeavor	1h 09m Minneapolis	MSP 09:27 → MCO 13:40DL 1208	6h 55m	93%	84%
American Details →	TYS 05:37 → DFW 07:06AA 994	1h 34m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:40 → MCO 12:22AA 2136	6h 45m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	TYS 07:35 → ATL 08:47DL 5317 · flown by Endeavor	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030	5h 25m	94%	83%
American Details →	TYS 06:00 → PHL 07:56AA 5620 · flown by PSA	1h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 08:56 → MCO 11:44AA 2084	5h 44m	95%	83%
American Details →	TYS 07:01 → DFW 08:34AA 5425 · flown by PSA	2h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:00 → MCO 14:43AA 2151	7h 42m	98%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	TYS 07:15 → IAH 08:40UA 6298 · flown by Mesa	50m Houston	IAH 09:30 → MCO 13:00UA 2310	5h 45m	63%	57%
Delta Details →	TYS 13:59 → ATL 15:08DL 4724 · flown by Endeavor	52m Atlanta	ATL 16:00 → MCO 17:47DL 1742	3h 48m	67%	53%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON