tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5523 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record TYS 06:45 MSP 08:18 8% 6% 0.8% 92%
DL 4803 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record TYS 18:42 MSP 20:17 39% 16% 0.0% 61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TYS 05:40 → ATL 06:40DL 3015 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090 6h 50m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → TYS 15:59 → DTW 17:50DL 4698 · flown by Endeavor 2h 36m Detroit DTW 20:26 → MSP 21:16DL 2981 6h 17m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → TYS 18:05 → ATL 19:09DL 2571 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310 7h 34m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → TYS 08:17 → CLT 09:47AA 5641 · flown by PSA 2h 48m Charlotte CLT 12:35 → MSP 14:30AA 1671 7h 13m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → TYS 05:00 → CLT 06:23AA 5954 · flown by Piedmont 2h 23m Charlotte CLT 08:46 → MSP 10:38AA 2972 6h 38m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → TYS 07:35 → ATL 08:47DL 5317 · flown by Endeavor 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 7h 15m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → TYS 11:57 → ATL 12:59DL 1743 1h 32m Atlanta ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825 5h 09m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → TYS 07:15 → DTW 09:04DL 5196 · flown by Endeavor 3h 16m Detroit DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697 6h 55m 95% 86%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → TYS 17:25 → DTW 19:14DL 4697 · flown by Endeavor 52m Detroit DTW 20:06 → MSP 21:00DL 1303 4h 35m 61% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON