Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2462 at 14:18, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2462 Delta Flight history →	VPS 14:18	MSP 17:12	8%	4%	1.2%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	VPS 07:00 → ATL 09:18DL 2451	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 50m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	VPS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3085	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	5h 30m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	VPS 09:21 → ATL 11:34DL 3051	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	6h 45m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	VPS 11:15 → ATL 13:35DL 2048	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	7h 03m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	VPS 14:45 → ATL 17:04DL 2832	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 20:13 → MSP 21:50DL 9979	7h 05m	98%	84%
American Details →	VPS 07:42 → CLT 10:14AA 2185	2h 29m Charlotte	CLT 12:43 → MSP 14:38AA 1671	6h 56m	96%	81%
American Details →	VPS 06:30 → DFW 08:49AA 2560	3h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:52 → MSP 14:22AA 1668	7h 52m	97%	77%
American Details →	VPS 12:56 → CLT 15:34AA 5165 · flown by PSA	3h 50m Charlotte	CLT 19:24 → MSP 21:00AA 2176	8h 04m	100%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON