tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1853 Southwest ABQ 07:19 AUS 10:07 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1439 Southwest ABQ 13:59 AUS 16:48 8% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:38 → DEN 07:17UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 2h 48m Denver DEN 10:05 → AUS 13:20UA 1026 6h 42m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 12:19 → DFW 15:13AA 3586 · flown by Envoy 2h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:24 → AUS 18:32AA 3722 · flown by Envoy 5h 13m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535 2h 26m Minneapolis MSP 14:30 → AUS 17:15DL 2687 7h 45m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 13:33 → DEN 15:03UA 1741 3h 36m Denver DEN 18:39 → AUS 21:57UA 1942 7h 24m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:34 → DFW 08:25AA 1231 1h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:43 → AUS 10:57AA 3054 4h 23m 94% 83%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 14:19 → IAH 17:39UA 3986 · flown by Mesa 2h 39m Houston IAH 20:18 → AUS 21:25UA 2621 6h 06m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 12:17 → IAH 15:41UA 6151 · flown by Mesa 3h 09m Houston IAH 18:50 → AUS 19:57UA 2674 6h 40m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 16:20 → DEN 17:50UA 725 2h 37m Denver DEN 20:27 → AUS 23:44UA 1943 6h 24m 98% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON